So... Hurricane Florence is bearing down on the east coast of the US (I live in
the state of Virginia, right on the coast-- and near the bull's eye of
landfall.)

Hey, Mother Nature, this won't do!! I'm feverishly working on some POV-Ray code,
and must not be interrupted! Take your hurricane elsewhere...

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"Kenneth" <kdw### [at] gmailcom> wrote:
> So... Hurricane Florence is bearing down on the east coast of the US (I live in
> the state of Virginia, right on the coast-- and near the bull's eye of
> landfall.)
>
> Hey, Mother Nature, this won't do!! I'm feverishly working on some POV-Ray code,
> and must not be interrupted! Take your hurricane elsewhere...

Yes, Somehow with the tonnages of electronic equipment we deal with, my work
computer doesn't even have a UPS.

Use the mantra: "Save early, save often."

Hopefully it's something good   ;)

I've managed to eke ahead a few notches on one or two projects.  I'm hoping to
finish something fun in the next week.

Good luck!

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"Bald Eagle" <cre### [at] netscapenet> wrote:

>
> Good luck!

Thanks. There's now a mandatory evacuation order for residents in "Zone 1"
(those living directly on the coast.) I'm in "Zone 2"-- on the Chesapeake Bay,
but only a few miles from the open ocean. Time will tell if I have to evacuate
as well.

I'm worried about flooding-- not from the ocean swells etc, as there are beach
sand berms between me and the water-- but from a fresh water lake only a few
blocks away. *That* flooded my area a couple of years ago, just from a really
bad days-long storm (a "nor'easter"). My house escaped that flood by a hair; I
may not be so lucky this time :-/

The expected track for the hurricane's landfall keeps inching its way
northward-- bringing the bull's eye closer! Egads.

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On 09/11/2018 06:48 AM, Kenneth wrote:
> "Bald Eagle" <cre### [at] netscapenet> wrote:

> 
> I'm worried about flooding-- not from the ocean swells etc, as there are beach
> sand berms between me and the water-- but from a fresh water lake only a few
> blocks away. *That* flooded my area a couple of years ago, just from a really
> bad days-long storm (a "nor'easter"). My house escaped that flood by a hair; I
> may not be so lucky this time :-/

Pfft!  We lost power for 17 days after Sandy.  Couldn't leave the
neighborhood for 4 days.  I was prepared, neighbors were not.  I have an
elder with "needs" so I had the whole house running on an 8500 watt
generator. (Now everybody has one).
I set up a table with extension cord and coffee pot.  Charge your phone
and have a cuppa.  The neighbors were impressed/annoyed to learn that
the generator lugged down at 6am when I turned on the hot water heater
for showers.  I thought I was so clever, then I realized that at $50 a
day in gasoline, that's $1500 a month in energy cost.

I was surprised to learn that clocks still use the wall 60Hz for a
clock. Every clock ran 8 minutes a day fast. Even my coffee pot. I
figured it's a computer, it has a crystal.

> 
> The expected track for the hurricane's landfall keeps inching its way
> northward-- bringing the bull's eye closer! Egads.

It's looking like an odd duck too.  They're talking it makes landfall
and then parks 20 miles inland for 3-4 days and dumps 30-40 inches of rain.

Better you than me. :) :(



-- 
dik
Rendered 1024 of 921600 pixels (0%)

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Am 11.09.2018 um 12:48 schrieb Kenneth:

> The expected track for the hurricane's landfall keeps inching its way
> northward-- bringing the bull's eye closer! Egads.

If the change in the expected track exhibits a clear trend, shouldn't
that trend be extrapolated and included in the expectations...?

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On 11/09/2018 17:51, clipka wrote:
> Am 11.09.2018 um 12:48 schrieb Kenneth:
> 
>> The expected track for the hurricane's landfall keeps inching its way
>> northward-- bringing the bull's eye closer! Egads.
> 
> If the change in the expected track exhibits a clear trend, shouldn't
> that trend be extrapolated and included in the expectations...?
> 

We are talking about butterflys and cats, here.


-- 

Regards
     Stephen

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Stephen <mca### [at] aolcom> wrote:
> > [clipka wrote...]
> >
> > If the change in the expected track exhibits a clear trend, shouldn't
> > that trend be extrapolated and included in the expectations...?
> >
>
> We are talking about butterflys and cats, here.
>

Yeah; if a butterfly flaps its wings faster in China, it will probably have an
effect here :-P  The weather in my area is SO unpredictable (probably in quite a
large area). But the hurricane track appears to be solidifying now-- slightly
further south. I/we might escape the worst part of it, or at least the worst
winds...

There are many small low-lying areas in my city and the surrounding ones, not
much above sea level. The place is dotted with river inlets, which come from the
Chesapeake Bay, which connects to the ocean. All of those areas are under
emergency evactuation orders, only because of the expected flooding.

So far, I still haven't been *ordered* to evacuate, but the flood risk for my
particular small area remains high...

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My parents were up here when the hurricane hit in their area.
It totally flooded right across the street from their complex.  :O

https://www.google.com/search?q=floods+in+brick+nj

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On 11/09/2018 20:13, Kenneth wrote:
> Stephen <mca### [at] aolcom> wrote:
>>> [clipka wrote...]
>>>
>>> If the change in the expected track exhibits a clear trend, shouldn't
>>> that trend be extrapolated and included in the expectations...?
>>>
>>
>> We are talking about butterflys and cats, here.
>>
> 
> Yeah; if a butterfly flaps its wings faster in China, it will probably have an
> effect here :-P  The weather in my area is SO unpredictable (probably in quite a
> large area). But the hurricane track appears to be solidifying now-- slightly
> further south. I/we might escape the worst part of it, or at least the worst
> winds...
> 
> There are many small low-lying areas in my city and the surrounding ones, not
> much above sea level. The place is dotted with river inlets, which come from the
> Chesapeake Bay, which connects to the ocean. All of those areas are under
> emergency evactuation orders, only because of the expected flooding.
> 
> So far, I still haven't been *ordered* to evacuate, but the flood risk for my
> particular small area remains high...
> 
> 
> 

And we think the British weather is bad. :)

I hope everything goes well and you don't get too much damage.
I spent a hurricane season in Jamaica once. The anticipation creates a 
bad atmosphere. It is not pleasant.

-- 

Regards
     Stephen

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"Kenneth" <kdw### [at] gmailcom> wrote:
> So... Hurricane Florence is bearing down on the east coast of the US (I live in
> the state of Virginia, right on the coast-- and near the bull's eye of
> landfall.)
>

[update...]

Well... for my area, the hurricane has turned out to be "much ado about nothing"
:-)

Not that I'm complaining-- but after a week's worth of breathless doom-and-gloom
predictions (for MY area) by ALL weathermen and newscasters, they're going to
have some explaining to do. (Unless the storm re-strengthens over land, which is
unheard of.) Predictions were that Florence might even grow into a Category 5
before it hit the coast (the strongest monster winds); instead, it went from a 4
down to a 2, then a 1! Here, we've had almost no rain, and the winds have
*maybe* topped out at 30mph-- more like a typical Autumn day than a hurricane.
All good news, of course (for us at least) but there are going to be lots of
irritated people here who evacuated their homes and left the area. Yes, it's
better to be "safe than sorry"-- but it looks like accurate weather prediction
still has a ways to go (it might truly be impossible-- chaos theory, etc...)

That butterfly in China must have suddenly reversed direction, or something...

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