On 11/09/2018 20:13, Kenneth wrote:
> Stephen <mca### [at] aolcom> wrote:
>>> [clipka wrote...]
>>>
>>> If the change in the expected track exhibits a clear trend, shouldn't
>>> that trend be extrapolated and included in the expectations...?
>>>
>>
>> We are talking about butterflys and cats, here.
>>
> 
> Yeah; if a butterfly flaps its wings faster in China, it will probably have an
> effect here :-P  The weather in my area is SO unpredictable (probably in quite a
> large area). But the hurricane track appears to be solidifying now-- slightly
> further south. I/we might escape the worst part of it, or at least the worst
> winds...
> 
> There are many small low-lying areas in my city and the surrounding ones, not
> much above sea level. The place is dotted with river inlets, which come from the
> Chesapeake Bay, which connects to the ocean. All of those areas are under
> emergency evactuation orders, only because of the expected flooding.
> 
> So far, I still haven't been *ordered* to evacuate, but the flood risk for my
> particular small area remains high...
> 
> 
> 

And we think the British weather is bad. :)

I hope everything goes well and you don't get too much damage.
I spent a hurricane season in Jamaica once. The anticipation creates a 
bad atmosphere. It is not pleasant.

-- 

Regards
     Stephen

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