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5 Sep 2024 15:27:28 EDT (-0400)
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From: Invisible
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 11:44:36
Message: <4b13f674$1@news.povray.org>
>>>> (Actually, the history of science and mathematics seems to involve 
>>>> quite a lot of things being discovered, forgotten and then 
>>>> rediscovered, often after a seriously large length of time.)
>>>
>>> That happens a lot when fanatics burn down libraries. Hasn't really 
>>> happened much since the invention of the printing press.
>>
>> Which, AFAIK, is "fairly recent".
> 
> Yep. The first "modern" press was the mid-1400's.  There were some in 
> China that didn't work out all that well due to the lack of an 
> alphabet.

Hahaha! Isn't China that country that *has* an alphabet, but it's 22,000 
characters or something absurd?

>> seemingly nothing inbetween. 
> 
> Quite possibly due to either libraries burning down, or due to math not 
> being all that useful without science, once the basics you need for 
> architecture census and such are figured out.

Check out the graph:

http://tinyurl.com/ydncoro

Notice the huge gap in the middle, and the much smaller gap between then 
and now? I'm sure other mathematicians *existed*, they just weren't 
especially famous... ;-)


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From: Darren New
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 13:29:49
Message: <4b140f1d@news.povray.org>
Invisible wrote:
> Hahaha! Isn't China that country that *has* an alphabet, but it's 22,000 
> characters or something absurd?

No, it's not an alphabet. It's writing, but there aren't phonetic letters 
you rearrange to make words, which is what "alphabet" means. From the greek 
Alpha Beta.

> Notice the huge gap in the middle, and the much smaller gap between then 
> and now? I'm sure other mathematicians *existed*, they just weren't 
> especially famous... ;-)

Well, anyone whose name we still know 500+ years later would probably fall 
under "especially famous" for me. Of course there might be a big gap when 
you list individual mathematicians. You're not graphing famous mathematicians.

http://www-history.mcs.st-and.ac.uk/Indexes/Full_Chron.html


-- 
Darren New, San Diego CA, USA (PST)
   Human nature dictates that toothpaste tubes spend
   much longer being almost empty than almost full.


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From: Darren New
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 13:31:17
Message: <4b140f75$1@news.povray.org>
Darren New wrote:
> Well, anyone whose name we still know 500+ years later would probably 
> fall under "especially famous" for me. 


Yeah, I guess if you don't count Pythagoras as a famous mathematician, we 
might get some gaps in there, yah. ;-)

-- 
Darren New, San Diego CA, USA (PST)
   Human nature dictates that toothpaste tubes spend
   much longer being almost empty than almost full.


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 14:12:19
Message: <4b141913@news.povray.org>
Darren New wrote:
> Patrick Elliott wrote:
>> Darren New wrote:
>>> Patrick Elliott wrote:
>>>> Invisible wrote:
>>>>> (There are people who think that accupuncture is nonesense. But now 
>>>>> scientists are finding that it causes measurable chemical changes 
>>>>> in the body that do, in fact, do something. As crazy as that 
>>>>> sounds...)
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> It is nonsense.
>>>
>>> Thanks for clearing that up for us. I guess all the actual medical 
>>> doctors can stop looking into it now.
>>>
>> Yep.. 
> 
> <long 100% nonsequitur rant deleted>
> 
> Wow. OK, I think I'll just give up now.
> 
Sigh.. Not a rant, but an explanation. As I said, your "medical doctors" 
are almost universally not trained scientists, they are a sort of 
technician. As such, many of them get it into their heads to run "tests" 
of things that are marginal at best, and *do it wrong*, producing false 
results, which then get promoted by advocates of the alternative 
treatment. The ones that are trained as scientists all, at this point, 
pretty much agree that certain things are placebo, and the only question 
is, "What causes the effect", not, "Should I treat someone with this 
sham method, or give them an aspirin?" That clearer for you?

-- 
void main () {
   If Schrödingers_cat is alive or version > 98 {
     if version = "Vista" {
       call slow_by_half();
       call DRM_everything();
     }
     call functional_code();
   }
   else
     call crash_windows();
}

<A HREF='http://www.daz3d.com/index.php?refid=16130551'>Get 3D Models, 
3D Content, and 3D Software at DAZ3D!</A>


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 14:24:20
Message: <4b141be4$1@news.povray.org>
Sabrina Kilian wrote:
> I get the feeling that there are some things acupuncture can be used for
> in modern medicine, and others that it shouldn't be used for.

The problem, as I pointed out to someone else, is that you have a *lot* 
of medical doctors doing these sorts of studies, but not all of them are 
scientifically trained. When ever you run into something like this you 
have about half the studies run by people making critical mistakes, and 
not being immediately caught doing it, often with very small numbers of 
patients in the groups. Other studies, on the same matter, end up 
contradicting them. So far, what I have seen, implies, rather strongly, 
that this is what is going on here. After all, some of these same 
doctors are noted for a) prescribing medications that are not intended 
for use X, for that, because the side effect of treating Y seems to 
produce and effect that could help X, or b) presenting other even more 
"alternative" treatments, along side the stuff they published a study on.

Point being, would you trust someone doing a study, who has no training 
in running proper studies, and also believes in homeopathy? This isn't 
always the case, which makes things even more confused, but all too 
often you find the people behind the studies are either believers in 
other quack, or funded by such. If, and this is a big if, it actually 
does do something in some obscure cases, I am still not sure that the 
unfortunate side effect of finding this out, that of having a huge 
number of people insist that it still does work for allergies, and 
pointing at non-related studies of something that it does work for, is 
worth the relatively small benefit that might be gained from it.

-- 
void main () {
   If Schrödingers_cat is alive or version > 98 {
     if version = "Vista" {
       call slow_by_half();
       call DRM_everything();
     }
     call functional_code();
   }
   else
     call crash_windows();
}

<A HREF='http://www.daz3d.com/index.php?refid=16130551'>Get 3D Models, 
3D Content, and 3D Software at DAZ3D!</A>


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 14:43:16
Message: <4b142054$1@news.povray.org>
Sabrina Kilian wrote:
> Patrick Elliott wrote:
> "We" . . . If you are speaking from medical training, I will defer to
> better knowledge of the field. Just let me know. All I know is from
> years on the patient side of things.
> 
Meant "we" in the general sense of society not accepting doctors lying 
to patients about treatments working or not.

> Yes you can. Every time a doctor gives out some antibiotics for a viral
> infection, that's a placebo. Sugar pills were found to have roughly the
> same effective treatment rate for mild depression and anxiety. So
> someone gets a mild anti-depressant for times when they are just feeling
> blue, another placebo.
> 
If a doctor is giving out antibiotics for a viral infection then, yes, 
they would be lying.. You give people anti-virals for viruses, which 
isn't the same thing. As for sugar pills... Yes, in "rare" occasions 
this has been done, but its usually with a) people that don't have 
anything wrong with them in the first place, but think they do, or b) 
... I am not sure, but its not as an alternative to *real* treatment, 
and it is an ethics issue, which, as I understand it, gets argued a lot.

And no, I am not saying that you would advocate replacement of real 
treatment with fake ones. What I am saying is that there are already 
doctors that have fallen for the quack pseudoscience and false claims of 
many "alternative" treatments, and they *do* often advocate for the 
replacement of real medication/treatments with the ones that don't work. 
This needs to be stopped, not accelerated.

> Those same fake doctors have an arsenal of things they can claim work,
> with propped up studies that back them up. Hunt them down, sure, but it
> doesn't hurt to look at their data just to see if one in a thousand of
> them might have been on to something real.
> 
That is the problem. People do look at their data, and its inevitably 
collected wrong, deals with tiny numbers of people, contains biases, 
like, "I wanted them to feel better, and they trusted me, so they told 
me they felt better, but I don't have actual proof.", and similar 
useless stuff.

That is in fact the biggest problem. You can *test* whether certain 
things have improved, you can't *test* if the patient's perception of 
their minor aches and pains have *actually* improved from some 
treatment, because the mere belief that it should improve can skew their 
own perceptions, even if the actual pain experienced is *mechanically* 
the same. In other words, if you could measure how much pain the nerves 
where generating, it would be the same, but the *perception* of the pain 
differed. This creates a real mess with this stuff, and makes even real, 
but marginal, medications problematic to test, in some cases. They have 
to have an effect that rises "over" a specific threshold of, "This could 
just be perception, not effect."

Studies on such effects, by doctors already advocating stuff that is 
just plain dumb, can't be trusted, because there is already a bias in 
perception on their part, there is almost certainly one on the part of 
their patients, who go there, probably, because he advocates nonsense 
treatments, and that *can* skew the results by 30%, due to both the 
patient exaggerating the result, and the doctor doing the same. Real 
studies, the ones that fail to find anything in such cases, generally 
try to find *direct* ways of measuring what is going on, when possible. 
Why? Because it removes both the 15% added by patient perception, and 
the 15% added by a doctor who badly wants to be helping their patients, 
and *seems* to be getting the result they expected.

You have to take the subjective perceptions of both out of the equation, 
as much as possible, to come up with a valid study. Most of these 
studies, sadly, do neither.

-- 
void main () {

     if version = "Vista" {
       call slow_by_half();
       call DRM_everything();
     }
     call functional_code();
   }
   else
     call crash_windows();
}

<A HREF='http://www.daz3d.com/index.php?refid=16130551'>Get 3D Models, 
3D Content, and 3D Software at DAZ3D!</A>


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 14:48:54
Message: <4b1421a6$1@news.povray.org>
Invisible wrote:
>>>>> (Actually, the history of science and mathematics seems to involve 
>>>>> quite a lot of things being discovered, forgotten and then 
>>>>> rediscovered, often after a seriously large length of time.)
>>>>
>>>> That happens a lot when fanatics burn down libraries. Hasn't really 
>>>> happened much since the invention of the printing press.
>>>
>>> Which, AFAIK, is "fairly recent".
>>
>> Yep. The first "modern" press was the mid-1400's.  There were some in 
>> China that didn't work out all that well due to the lack of an alphabet.
> 
> Hahaha! Isn't China that country that *has* an alphabet, but it's 22,000 
> characters or something absurd?
> 

An alphabet is where you combine individual symbols, which have no 
meaning themselves, to form words. What they have are glyphs, each with 
a specific meaning, and which only combine when you want to express an 
idea that is a combination of those two meanings. This is rather 
different, and why both China and Japan tend to use English when dealing 
with technologies (well, that and the French didn't invent computers). 
Its literally the only "language" where you can write something like 
dog, and have everyone in the country know what it means, yet where the 
*spoken* form can differ between 10+ versions, some of which are so 
radically different that two people, trying to talk to each other, 
wouldn't understand a single word of each others sentences. And, that 
can come close to being true even with the two "major" dialects.

-- 
void main () {
   If Schrödingers_cat is alive or version > 98 {
     if version = "Vista" {
       call slow_by_half();
       call DRM_everything();
     }
     call functional_code();
   }
   else
     call crash_windows();
}

<A HREF='http://www.daz3d.com/index.php?refid=16130551'>Get 3D Models, 
3D Content, and 3D Software at DAZ3D!</A>


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From: Orchid XP v8
Subject: Re: Fools, science and things like "Helicobacter Pylori"
Date: 30 Nov 2009 15:04:34
Message: <4b142552@news.povray.org>
Neeum Zawan wrote:
> On 11/29/09 11:21, Orchid XP v8 wrote:
>> Oh, I think there have always been people who truly, honestly believe
>> that every single syllable of the Bible is the Word of God, and cannot
> 
>     Every syllable? In which language?<G>

Hey, *I* know it's crazy! ;-)

-- 
http://blog.orphi.me.uk/
http://www.zazzle.com/MathematicalOrchid*


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From: Orchid XP v8
Subject: Re: Fools, science and things like "Helicobacter Pylori"
Date: 30 Nov 2009 15:05:36
Message: <4b142590$1@news.povray.org>
Darren New wrote:

> Even nowadays, it surprises me (in some sense) that religious people 
> object to the teaching of evolution here. You'd think if creationism 
> were *true* and they *really* believed it, they wouldn't be worried 
> about *science*.
> 
> Why would the church lock up Galileo if they thought his observations 
> and deductions were factually incorrect?

Putting it the other way... the scientists *do* know that they are 
correct (or at least, very nearly correct), so why are they worried 
about creationists?

-- 
http://blog.orphi.me.uk/
http://www.zazzle.com/MathematicalOrchid*


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From: Orchid XP v8
Subject: Re: Miracle products
Date: 30 Nov 2009 15:12:17
Message: <4b142721$1@news.povray.org>
>> Well, anyone whose name we still know 500+ years later would probably 
>> fall under "especially famous" for me. 
> 
> 
> Yeah, I guess if you don't count Pythagoras as a famous mathematician, 
> we might get some gaps in there, yah. ;-)

Wolfram limits the number of people's names you're allowed to use. The 
list has to be short, so it's kind of arbitrary which people you choose 
to include.

Euclid, Archimedes and Pythagorus are ancient Greek. Then there's a gap 
of about 1,000 years, and then there's a huge chunk of people all alive 
at the same time - Euler, Gauss, Cauchy, Fermat, Pascal, Fibonacci, 
Netwon, Laplace, the whole shooting match. And then there's a gap until 
the present day.

-- 
http://blog.orphi.me.uk/
http://www.zazzle.com/MathematicalOrchid*


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