Shay wrote:
> Assumption, yes. Those are made when setting policy. Unsubstantiated, 
> no. I lock my front door because I make the assumption that my getting 
> robbed is more likely than some kind stranger entering my house and 
> leaving a bag of gold coins on my pillow.

You have to include not just people's proclivity for an activity, but 
their ability to perform it.

You having an unlocked door makes it easy for someone to walk in and 
take something, but their leaving a bag of gold coins requires that they 
first have that bag.

Assuming that everyone around you had plenty of gold coins, but that you 
yourself had none, I wonder how many people would be inclined to give 
you some.

...Chambers

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