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  The future seems so grim (Message 1 to 27 of 27)  
From: Warp
Subject: The future seems so grim
Date: 28 Dec 2011 06:18:52
Message: <4efafb1c@news.povray.org>
Why does it feel like the near future is going to suck hard? Let's see:

- The climate is going so bad that in 50 to 100 years we will most probably
be totally screwed, if not even sooner. And humanity is doing little to help
this, even though it's a very well known problem.

- There's little question anymore that the global economy is going to crash
hard in the very near future. We are most probably facing an economic crisis
which will rival or even surpass the big one in the 1920's. At least here in
Finland there have already been prospects of Finland going back to the old
currency (Finnish marks) if the euro plummets. And what's worse, rather than
trying to do something about it, apparently the big money institutions are
doing all this *on purpose*.

- We are going to run out of oil in the near fugure. We know this, and we
know that when it happens, the economy will collapse even harder. The
economic crisis of the 1920's will be child's play in comparison. Yet we
are not doing anything about it.

- One of the most influential countries in the world (a country that
heavily influences the economy and politics of the rest of the world),
namely the United States, seems to be going down hard in politics,
science and education. It's showing troubling signs of turning into a
theocracy-like totalitarian state in the near future. The very basics
of constituational freedoms in the US have been eroded one by one during
the last decade, and it seems to only be spiraling down. (Just as one
example, seems like most of the presidential candidates are religious
nutjobs who want to make it legal for states to outlaw same-sex
relationships, abortions, the teaching of evolution, and so on.)

- European countries have also been steadily going downwards in terms of
freedom, democracy and the wellbeing of its citizens, also mostly for
religious reasons. However, in this case the religion is not Christianity
but naive multiculturalism. A revolution (to either direction of the
political spectrum) is inevitable in the near future.

- Large companies, especially those ones having intellectual properties,
and especially the American ones, are slowly trying to take over the world.
The SOPA is just one of the latest and most egregious attempts at controlling
and even shutting down the internet. These companies have even gone so far
as to demand a foreign country to extradit one of that country's citizens
because he *linked* to copyrighted material. That's right: He didn't even
*distribute* copyrighted material, he simply *linked* to it, and now the
property owners are demanding a foreign country to extradit this person so
that he can be put in jail in the United States. This is how bold and
egregious these companies have become about copyright.
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_O%27Dwyer)

  Sometimes I'm glad I don't have children. I don't have to worry about
them growing in a world that is plummeting fast into total chaos.

-- 
                                                          - Warp


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From: Jim Henderson
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 28 Dec 2011 15:59:26
Message: <4efb832e@news.povray.org>
On Wed, 28 Dec 2011 06:18:52 -0500, Warp wrote:

> - The climate is going so bad that in 50 to 100 years we will most
> probably be totally screwed, if not even sooner. And humanity is doing
> little to help this, even though it's a very well known problem.

You seem to have forgotten that any problems there are in the world can 
just be wished away.  Nobody has to do anything, just pray hard enough 
and the problem will be solved.

That's what works here in the US.  I guess the rest of the world just 
hasn't caught up with us.  *Faith* is the one true solution to any 
problem, not hard work or study/evaluation of alternative solutions.

Just wait and the problem will solve itself.

Jim


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 28 Dec 2011 17:36:23
Message: <4efb99e7$1@news.povray.org>
On 12/28/2011 1:59 PM, Jim Henderson wrote:
> On Wed, 28 Dec 2011 06:18:52 -0500, Warp wrote:
>
>> - The climate is going so bad that in 50 to 100 years we will most
>> probably be totally screwed, if not even sooner. And humanity is doing
>> little to help this, even though it's a very well known problem.
>
> You seem to have forgotten that any problems there are in the world can
> just be wished away.  Nobody has to do anything, just pray hard enough
> and the problem will be solved.
>
> That's what works here in the US.  I guess the rest of the world just
> hasn't caught up with us.  *Faith* is the one true solution to any
> problem, not hard work or study/evaluation of alternative solutions.
>
> Just wait and the problem will solve itself.
>
> Jim
Largest growing denominations in the US are the "I don't feel like 
telling you what my religion is", and, atheist. The people that most 
strongly agree with corporate personhood, big oil, and the non-existence 
of climate change are currently doing a damn fine job of looking like 
the circus clowns, all trying to jam into a clown car, and the biggest 
worry is that the unpredictability of voters will mean that, with no 
sane alternative, they will vote for the insane one, just to get rid of 
the one that has been blocked, challenged, lied about, lied too, etc., 
since before he even got in office.

So.. Its really a case of, "Is it too little awareness, too late.", or 
worse, "With the ship sinking, will the population decide that the best 
solution is to drill holes in the bottom, to let the water out." One 
almost hopes that its neither, but would very much prefer the first 
option, since at least *something* might be salvaged, even if its late 
starting, where as the last option... well, we are a species that, as 
the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy series points out, have to put 
instructions on a box of damn toothpicks.


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From: John VanSickle
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 29 Dec 2011 11:30:55
Message: <4efc95bf$1@news.povray.org>
On 12/28/2011 6:18 AM, Warp wrote:
>    Why does it feel like the near future is going to suck hard? Let's see:
>
> - The climate is going so bad that in 50 to 100 years we will most probably
> be totally screwed, if not even sooner. And humanity is doing little to help
> this, even though it's a very well known problem.

I see no *conclusive* evidence that the world's climate will behave any 
differently in the next fifty years than it has in the previous fifty. 
The doom-and-gloom predictors have oscillated between "global warming" 
and "impending ice age" at least three times in the past century alone.

> - There's little question anymore that the global economy is going to crash
> hard in the very near future. We are most probably facing an economic crisis
> which will rival or even surpass the big one in the 1920's. At least here in
> Finland there have already been prospects of Finland going back to the old
> currency (Finnish marks) if the euro plummets. And what's worse, rather than
> trying to do something about it, apparently the big money institutions are
> doing all this *on purpose*.

The odd thing is that the very people who predicted that this is exactly 
what would happen are still being denounced as cranks.

> - We are going to run out of oil in the near fugure.

In spite of having more identified reserves than at any point in history.

> - One of the most influential countries in the world (a country that
> heavily influences the economy and politics of the rest of the world),
> namely the United States, seems to be going down hard in politics,
> science and education. It's showing troubling signs of turning into a
> theocracy-like totalitarian state in the near future.

This is a false appearance created by heavily biased news institutions. 
  We are farther away from a theocracy than at any other time in our 
history.

> The very basics
> of constituational freedoms in the US have been eroded one by one during
> the last decade, and it seems to only be spiraling down. (Just as one
> example, seems like most of the presidential candidates are religious
> nutjobs who want to make it legal for states to outlaw same-sex
> relationships, abortions, the teaching of evolution, and so on.)

Actually, the totalitarian states of the century past were all creatures 
of socialism (whether of a nationalistic or Marxist flavor has made no 
real difference).  While the right has been guilty of eroding our 
Constitutional rights, the left has been historically worse.  The news 
does not report this because they are heavily left-leaning.

> - European countries have also been steadily going downwards in terms of
> freedom, democracy and the well being of its citizens, also mostly for
> religious reasons. However, in this case the religion is not Christianity
> but naive multiculturalism. A revolution (to either direction of the
> political spectrum) is inevitable in the near future.

With the odd exception that in most of Europe, one particular religous 
group has not been tasked with embracing multiculturism.  They have been 
allowed to stick to their old ways.

> - Large companies, especially those ones having intellectual properties,
> and especially the American ones, are slowly trying to take over the world.
> The SOPA is just one of the latest and most egregious attempts at controlling
> and even shutting down the internet. These companies have even gone so far
> as to demand a foreign country to extradit one of that country's citizens
> because he *linked* to copyrighted material. That's right: He didn't even
> *distribute* copyrighted material, he simply *linked* to it, and now the
> property owners are demanding a foreign country to extradit this person so
> that he can be put in jail in the United States. This is how bold and
> egregious these companies have become about copyright.
> (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_O%27Dwyer)

Again, the element which argue against giving the government power to 
grant favors to corporations was shouted down, and is still dismissed as 
impractical cranks, even though what they predicted has come to pass.

Regards,
John


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From: Stephen
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 29 Dec 2011 13:34:49
Message: <4efcb2c9$1@news.povray.org>
On 28/12/2011 11:18 AM, Warp wrote:
>    Why does it feel like the near future is going to suck hard? Let's see:

You forgot to mention geomagnetic reversal. That will be a bummer!

But on the other hand 40 to 50 years ago we were all going to disappear 
in a cloud of radioactive dust and we were entering a mini ice age as 
well. There was also mention of a Megatsunami originating in the Canary 
Islands.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megatsunami#Canary_Islands

The world has always been going to hell in a hand cart. I suppose that 
it always will.


-- 
Regards
     Stephen


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 29 Dec 2011 22:07:02
Message: <4efd2ad6$1@news.povray.org>
On 12/29/2011 9:31 AM, John VanSickle wrote:
> On 12/28/2011 6:18 AM, Warp wrote:
>> Why does it feel like the near future is going to suck hard? Let's see:
>>
>> - The climate is going so bad that in 50 to 100 years we will most
>> probably
>> be totally screwed, if not even sooner. And humanity is doing little
>> to help
>> this, even though it's a very well known problem.
>
> I see no *conclusive* evidence that the world's climate will behave any
> differently in the next fifty years than it has in the previous fifty.
> The doom-and-gloom predictors have oscillated between "global warming"
> and "impending ice age" at least three times in the past century alone.
>
Wrong.. In actual point of fact, for the most part the scientific 
community has said "warming" all along. The media, and some TV movie 
people, where the ones that introduced the absurd claims about 
"impending ice age", probably confusing it with the, at the time, still 
semi-worrisome idea of nuclear winter. For the most part, only the 
fringe, and some TV movie makers, have been running "doom and gloom" 
either. What has been said is:

1. Weather will get more complex, and probably more radical.
2. Ice caps will melt.
3. We *might*, maybe, see a slowing, or reversal of ocean flow paths, 
which *could* cause a temporary mini-ice age, in areas effected, as 
warmer water failed to travel north, and keep the ice melted.

In the third case, its possible, but if we get things bad enough, it 
won't last long, and everyone else is going to get the rest of the hell 
from the resulting weather. Its also not going to happen if there isn't 
enough cold there to freeze anything. Temps in most of the world have 
risen less than a degree. In some northern climates, its risen 5 
degrees, enough to raise the ground temp *over* the melting point. 
Globally, its its rising, but not "yet" as high as some have warned, but 
its not slowing either.

 From the other side we have:

1. Denial of whole communities disappearing due to permafrost melting 
(and the land being nothing but permafrost with some dust over it).
2. Editing of documents to remove data, charts, and mentions of rising 
tide levels in areas that where predicted to be effected.
3. Just general denial.
4. A lot of misinformation. The biggest one is that they ignore 200+ 
years of data, multiple sources of data collected from sources that can 
trace trends back thousands of years, and most of what has happened in 
the last 50 too, to harp on a small window of a few years, when, due to 
other factors, there was a "temporary" decline in temperatures, in order 
to claim that nothing at all has changed over time, its just another 
"fluctuation".

Pretty much everyone that isn't paid by an energy company, or working 
for some place like Kato, which is funded by the Koch brothers, and 
other people with an incentive for it to not be true, thinks it *is* 
conclusive. Which makes.. Nearly all of the climate scientists who are 
not paid to not see anything, cranks, or not actually climate experts 
(i.e., not climate scientists at all).


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From: Warp
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 30 Dec 2011 11:29:46
Message: <4efde6fa@news.povray.org>
John VanSickle <evi### [at] hotmailcom> wrote:
> I see no *conclusive* evidence that the world's climate will behave any 
> differently in the next fifty years than it has in the previous fifty. 
> The doom-and-gloom predictors have oscillated between "global warming" 
> and "impending ice age" at least three times in the past century alone.

  *sigh*

  And man has never went to the Moon, 9/11 was an inside job, Kennedy was
killed by the FBI and the Bavarian Illuminati is trying to establish the
One World Order alongside the Freemasons.

> > - We are going to run out of oil in the near fugure.

> In spite of having more identified reserves than at any point in history.

  You clearly don't understand exponential growth.

-- 
                                                          - Warp


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From: Neeum Zawan
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 30 Dec 2011 13:52:22
Message: <87obupsxi1.fsf@fester.com>
Warp <war### [at] tagpovrayorg> writes:

>   And man has never went to the Moon, 9/11 was an inside job, Kennedy was
> killed by the FBI and the Bavarian Illuminati is trying to establish the

Kennedy was killed by the CIA, not the FBI. Get your facts straight.


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From: Jim Holsenback
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 30 Dec 2011 15:18:17
Message: <4efe1c89$1@news.povray.org>
On 12/30/2011 01:52 PM, Neeum Zawan wrote:
> Warp<war### [at] tagpovrayorg>  writes:
>
>>    And man has never went to the Moon, 9/11 was an inside job, Kennedy was
>> killed by the FBI and the Bavarian Illuminati is trying to establish the
>
> Kennedy was killed by the CIA, not the FBI. Get your facts straight.
>
you are most likely correct ... but J Edgar and Robert weren't exactly 
buddies either ;-)


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From: Stephen
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 30 Dec 2011 15:31:10
Message: <4efe1f8e$1@news.povray.org>
On 30/12/2011 8:18 PM, Jim Holsenback wrote:
> you are most likely correct ... but J Edgar and Robert weren't exactly
> buddies either ;-)

Is that because JKK did not dress as woman ;-)

-- 
Regards
     Stephen


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 30 Dec 2011 15:48:23
Message: <4efe2397$1@news.povray.org>
On 12/30/2011 1:18 PM, Jim Holsenback wrote:
> On 12/30/2011 01:52 PM, Neeum Zawan wrote:
>> Warp<war### [at] tagpovrayorg> writes:
>>
>>> And man has never went to the Moon, 9/11 was an inside job, Kennedy was
>>> killed by the FBI and the Bavarian Illuminati is trying to establish the
>>
>> Kennedy was killed by the CIA, not the FBI. Get your facts straight.
>>
> you are most likely correct ... but J Edgar and Robert weren't exactly
> buddies either ;-)
Did they just release a new piece of, previously held, film, that 
conclusively killed this one? Snort.. What I am saying, the conspiracy 
nuts probably just figure it took until now to properly CG a grainy film 
strip, showing the shooting.


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From: Jim Henderson
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 31 Dec 2011 16:29:22
Message: <4eff7eb2@news.povray.org>
On Thu, 29 Dec 2011 11:31:06 -0500, John VanSickle wrote:

> I see no *conclusive* evidence that the world's climate will behave any
> differently in the next fifty years than it has in the previous fifty.

There's something of a fallacy here - that science has to provide 
'conclusive' proof of anything before it's taken seriously.

There's overwhelming evidence to support the idea that the world is 
warming.  Even studies funded by climate change deniers (the recent one 
funded by the Koch bros. for example) show that the world is warming.

*Absolute* proof is not the standard in scientific research.  A 
preponderance of the evidence is, but in actual scientific research, it's 
also common to provide counter-evidence.

Jim


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From: John VanSickle
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 1 Jan 2012 09:04:36
Message: <4f0067f4@news.povray.org>
On 12/31/2011 4:29 PM, Jim Henderson wrote:
> On Thu, 29 Dec 2011 11:31:06 -0500, John VanSickle wrote:
>
>> I see no *conclusive* evidence that the world's climate will behave any
>> differently in the next fifty years than it has in the previous fifty.
>
> There's something of a fallacy here - that science has to provide
> 'conclusive' proof of anything before it's taken seriously.
>
> There's overwhelming evidence to support the idea that the world is
> warming.  Even studies funded by climate change deniers (the recent one
> funded by the Koch bros. for example) show that the world is warming.
>
> *Absolute* proof is not the standard in scientific research.  A
> preponderance of the evidence is, but in actual scientific research, it's
> also common to provide counter-evidence.

I did not say that the planet is not getting warmer.  I said that the 
climate will not behave any differently.  One is not the other.

It is now a documented fact that much of the research purported to 
support AGW was falsified and/or misrepresented, and claiming that this 
puts me into the moon-landing denier camp is mere ad hominem.


Regards,
John


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From: Jim Henderson
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 1 Jan 2012 14:53:56
Message: <4f00b9d4$1@news.povray.org>
On Sun, 01 Jan 2012 09:04:35 -0500, John VanSickle wrote:

> I did not say that the planet is not getting warmer.  I said that the
> climate will not behave any differently.  One is not the other.

That's not particularly logical, John.  If one changes a variable, then 
the outcome changes.  If the planet is getting warmer, then there are 
effects caused by that - and we're seeing that.  Have you read the 
reports about water shortages in (I think it was) Peru, where the glacial 
melt has accelerated (demonstrated fact) and is causing a drought?

> It is now a documented fact that much of the research purported to
> support AGW was falsified and/or misrepresented, 

"Much" is an exaggeration, and the data that was 'exaggerated' has been 
removed from the data set, and the trends still show pretty clearly.  In 
fact, that study that was funded by the Koch bros. used all of the 
validated data and was intended to actually answer the question one way 
or the other - and the person doing the research reportedly didn't care 
what the outcome was.

And the outcome was that it's real.

> and claiming that this
> puts me into the moon-landing denier camp is mere ad hominem.

I didn't put you in that camp - in fact, I was pretty careful *not* to do 
so.  So lumping this statement in with the rest makes it sound like I 
did.  I'd appreciate it if you didn't do that.

Jim


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From: Le Forgeron
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 1 Jan 2012 16:14:10
Message: <4f00cca2$1@news.povray.org>
Le 01/01/2012 20:53, Jim Henderson nous fit lire :
> On Sun, 01 Jan 2012 09:04:35 -0500, John VanSickle wrote:
> 
>> > I did not say that the planet is not getting warmer.  I said that the
>> > climate will not behave any differently.  One is not the other.
> That's not particularly logical, John.  If one changes a variable, then 
> the outcome changes.

I think you both agree... somehow.
John states that the climate's rules are not changed (the reactions
remain the same, the rules of physics are not updated).
Jim states that the outcome will be different because the input
variables are differents.

To simplify, assume climate is a function f(x):= 3*x.

John states: f(x) remains unchanged.
Jim states: x was pi, next it is 4.

Both are corrects. old f(x) was 3 pi. new f(x) will be 12.


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 2 Jan 2012 00:39:58
Message: <4f01432e$1@news.povray.org>
On 1/1/2012 7:04 AM, John VanSickle wrote:
> It is now a documented fact that much of the research purported to
> support AGW was falsified and/or misrepresented, and claiming that this
> puts me into the moon-landing denier camp is mere ad hominem.
>
No it wasn't. There where multiple data sources, including "actual 
measurements". One bloody set of data, specific to a species of tree 
whose rings where used, as one data point, to verify the trend, showed 
an odd skew in the data, which contradicted the trend. The supposedly 
"falsified" data was a chart that excluded the trees, for a very small 
period of time, as used other data sources *instead*, to fill in the gap 
that resulted. The exact reason for the disparity isn't certain, but a) 
its a damn life form, and b) there where increases in drought conditions 
in the region they where in, which might have had an impact on the data 
produced. All other sources of data, including *live* recordings of 
actual temperatures, all showed the expected trend. A few living 
organisms, which belonged to one species, and might thus have been prey 
to anything from bugs, to water contamination, to not enough water, to.. 
who knows, was the sole cause of the complaints about "falsified data".

But, this makes no damn sense at all. If, to give an example, you are 
baking cookies, but they burn, and the oven says its 350, but a) other 
things burn too, b) your cooking thermometer says its 450, c) other 
means of testing the temperature says its too high as well, etc., do you 
insist that the oven is right, or do you ignore the oven, and make down 
on your recipe, "Set at 250, to compensate for the error."? That's 
bloody making sure your data is right, not "faking it". now, if 
everything, including the cookies, said its was 350, but your 
thermometer said something else, but you sided with it, that would be a 
completely different matter, but that was the exact opposite of what 
happened with the tree ring data.

As for other claims of misrepresentation, etc... Those mostly came out 
of denialist intentional misinterpretation of emails. Emails that 
involved internal discussion as to which data was valid, why some of it 
might be a bit quirky, and how trustworthy it was, what means should be 
used to correct for these minor errors, in order to present the most 
accurate assessment possible, and a fair number of emails about how 
pissed off they where at people that liked to only point out things 
that, for one reason or other, didn't show the expected results, in 
order to undermine their research. Most of the reason for the small 
problems where averaged out, not excluded, by tracking *multiple* data 
sources, which produce an inexact, but never the less clear, pattern, 
for those periods where we have no direct measurements.

But, for more recent measurements, the data includes satellite records, 
better measurements, more accurate analysis of other data types, etc., 
and they all show, even without ignoring clear evidence, like melting 
ice caps, communities vanishing to permafrost melting, rising tide 
levels, in places like Texas, where the anti-AGW people actually 
released the paper that was written there only *after* editing out all 
mention of the tide levels, and all the charts showing it had increased, 
and other things that supported the idea that sea levels where rising. 
Every single scientist that had their name on the thing immediately 
protested, and asked to be removed as an author.

There has been no legitimate case made for any data being falsified, or 
misinterpreted, save by those people that either don't want it to be 
true, or the companies that would need to change practices, and the 
think tanks, which those same companies *pay* to say that the evidence 
doesn't support AGW (as well as paying to claim all sort of other things 
that are fishy, invalid, and/or strangely convenient for their benefactors).


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 2 Jan 2012 00:46:04
Message: <4f01449c@news.povray.org>
On 1/1/2012 2:14 PM, Le_Forgeron wrote:
> Le 01/01/2012 20:53, Jim Henderson nous fit lire :
>> On Sun, 01 Jan 2012 09:04:35 -0500, John VanSickle wrote:
>>
>>>> I did not say that the planet is not getting warmer.  I said that the
>>>> climate will not behave any differently.  One is not the other.
>> That's not particularly logical, John.  If one changes a variable, then
>> the outcome changes.
>
> I think you both agree... somehow.
> John states that the climate's rules are not changed (the reactions
> remain the same, the rules of physics are not updated).
> Jim states that the outcome will be different because the input
> variables are differents.
>
> To simplify, assume climate is a function f(x):= 3*x.
>
> John states: f(x) remains unchanged.
> Jim states: x was pi, next it is 4.
>
> Both are corrects. old f(x) was 3 pi. new f(x) will be 12.
Yeah, but, we are talking about something more complex than that. 
Something that, within certain constraints, has a stable result, but 
which can get far more complex, and seemingly chaotic, if you change the 
variables too much. Its not like we don't know of, or see, types of 
whether that is unusual any place. For example, from what I understand 
there is a certain kind if high altitude cloud that is very rare, and so 
high that, at night it is visible, due to reflecting sunlight from 
around the curvature of the earth (where its not obviously visible from 
the ground). This is, supposedly becoming more common in the last decade 
or so. While it may be true that the fundamental laws stay the same, you 
have two major problems. The first one is, certain uncommon results can 
become more common. The second one is, if those uncommon events have 
secondary effects, such as disturbing other nearby weather systems, 
which they wouldn't normally, or as much, the resulting change is no 
longer predictable, given *expected* results from such proximities.


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From: Darren New
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 3 Jan 2012 22:55:54
Message: <4f03cdca$1@news.povray.org>
On 12/28/2011 3:18, Warp wrote:
> And humanity is doing little to help
> this, even though it's a very well known problem.

The best thing to do about this is to have fewer children. I don't see that 
going down well anywhere except maybe China.

> doing all this *on purpose*.

Probably, yes.

> are not doing anything about it.

I disagree. Alternate sources and battery tech improves tremendously.

> namely the United States, seems to be going down hard in politics,
> science and education. It's showing troubling signs of turning into a
> theocracy-like totalitarian state in the near future.

Sucks hard, yes.

> - Large companies, especially those ones having intellectual properties,
> and especially the American ones, are slowly trying to take over the world.

It's helped along by the fact that the governments don't want users having 
such freedoms either.

-- 
Darren New, San Diego CA, USA (PST)
   People tell me I am the counter-example.


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From: nemesis
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 4 Jan 2012 15:15:00
Message: <web.4f04b27cd2358b5842ca1f540@news.povray.org>
Darren New <dne### [at] sanrrcom> wrote:
> On 12/28/2011 3:18, Warp wrote:
> > And humanity is doing little to help
> > this, even though it's a very well known problem.
>
> The best thing to do about this is to have fewer children. I don't see that
> going down well anywhere except maybe China.

Problem is: nutjobs have children at a far higher rate than people who value
reason.  It's the same as in voting: if you abstain, you merely let others
decide your future.  You're not doing your job in improving mankind. ;)


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From: Orchid XP v8
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 4 Jan 2012 16:42:27
Message: <4f04c7c3$1@news.povray.org>
On 04/01/2012 08:11 PM, nemesis wrote:

> Problem is: nutjobs have children at a far higher rate than people who value
> reason.

Required XKCD quote: http://www.xkcd.com/603/

(This took me an absurd amount of time to find, BTW. Unfortunately 
Google can't search images...)

-- 
http://blog.orphi.me.uk/
http://www.zazzle.com/MathematicalOrchid*


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 4 Jan 2012 22:36:06
Message: <4f051aa6$1@news.povray.org>
On 1/3/2012 8:55 PM, Darren New wrote:
> On 12/28/2011 3:18, Warp wrote:
>> And humanity is doing little to help
>> this, even though it's a very well known problem.
>
> The best thing to do about this is to have fewer children. I don't see
> that going down well anywhere except maybe China.
>
Actually, birth rates are lower among a) the educated, b) in cities, and 
c) among prosperous nations. Its higher in a subset of the later, only 
where a) there is poor education, b) its a rural area, c) its a poor 
neighborhood. Its really bad in places where a) is nearly nonexistent, 
or undermined, b) every place is rural, and c) its so poor that you need 
3-4 children, to make sure there is at least one survivor.

Stupidly, a lot of both religious people, and left wing flower power 
types a) have warped ideas as to what constitutes good education, b) 
hate cities, or believe you should have lots of kids anyway, and c) may 
not be poor enough to realize that their success at having 4-18+ kids is 
**not** normal for everyone.


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From: Jim Henderson
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 4 Jan 2012 22:51:37
Message: <4f051e49$1@news.povray.org>
On Wed, 04 Jan 2012 20:35:57 -0700, Patrick Elliott wrote:

> Stupidly, a lot of both religious people, and left wing flower power
> types a) have warped ideas as to what constitutes good education, b)
> hate cities, or believe you should have lots of kids anyway, and c) may
> not be poor enough to realize that their success at having 4-18+ kids is
> **not** normal for everyone.

I don't know about the 'left wing flower power types", but from a 
religious standpoint, promoting large families isn't uncommon - 
especially where tithing is involved.  Think of it as 'increasing the tax 
base'.

Jim


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From: Patrick Elliott
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 5 Jan 2012 21:56:13
Message: <4f0662cd$1@news.povray.org>
On 1/4/2012 8:51 PM, Jim Henderson wrote:
> On Wed, 04 Jan 2012 20:35:57 -0700, Patrick Elliott wrote:
>
>> Stupidly, a lot of both religious people, and left wing flower power
>> types a) have warped ideas as to what constitutes good education, b)
>> hate cities, or believe you should have lots of kids anyway, and c) may
>> not be poor enough to realize that their success at having 4-18+ kids is
>> **not** normal for everyone.
>
> I don't know about the 'left wing flower power types", but from a
> religious standpoint, promoting large families isn't uncommon -
> especially where tithing is involved.  Think of it as 'increasing the tax
> base'.
>
> Jim
Snort. Can explain where they get the absurd idea that you shouldn't tax 
the rich. Just produce more poor people, if you need more taxes, the 
money will magically appear in their pockets some how, never mind that 
you have 95% of it already in your own bank. Though, I suppose the ones 
insisting on going back to a "gold standard" have that one solved, you 
just ship off all the extra poor people to dug holes, looking for more 
gold you can steal.. uh, tax them.

Suddenly the apparent complete idiocy of these people makes sick sense...

But, yeah, you might be right about the left. Most flower power types 
tend to be over-pro environment, even to the point of not wanting, in 
some extreme cases, to offend nature by putting another human on the planet.


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From: Jim Henderson
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 6 Jan 2012 21:51:42
Message: <4f07b33e$1@news.povray.org>
On Thu, 05 Jan 2012 19:56:04 -0700, Patrick Elliott wrote:

> Suddenly the apparent complete idiocy of these people makes sick
> sense...

I found that was the way to understand the LDS Church here in Utah.  Big 
families, encouraged by the church, along with a strongly "recommended" 
10% tithe = lots of money for the church.  More followers = more money.

It's not very different from looking at businesses that focus on a few 
large customers vs. businesses that focus on lots of smaller businesses.  
Both *can* be successful, but a company that only focuses on the Fortune 
500 loses much more revenue when they lose a single customer.

> But, yeah, you might be right about the left. Most flower power types
> tend to be over-pro environment, even to the point of not wanting, in
> some extreme cases, to offend nature by putting another human on the
> planet.

Kinda like religions that practice celibacy.  Those tend not to grow a 
whole lot after a generation or two.....

Jim


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From: Darren New
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 7 Jan 2012 13:17:42
Message: <4f088c46$1@news.povray.org>
On 1/4/2012 13:42, Orchid XP v8 wrote:
> (This took me an absurd amount of time to find, BTW. Unfortunately Google
> can't search images...)

... yet. ;-)

This is one of the reasons so many web comic have transcriptions at the bottom.

-- 
Darren New, San Diego CA, USA (PST)
   People tell me I am the counter-example.


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From: Orchid XP v8
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 7 Jan 2012 14:22:24
Message: <4f089b70$1@news.povray.org>
On 07/01/2012 06:17 PM, Darren New wrote:
> On 1/4/2012 13:42, Orchid XP v8 wrote:
>> (This took me an absurd amount of time to find, BTW. Unfortunately Google
>> can't search images...)
>
> ... yet. ;-)

Oh come on, OCR is still an unsolved research problem. Plus I doubt they 
have the compute capacity necessary.

> This is one of the reasons so many web comic have transcriptions at the
> bottom.

If you mean "so many" as in "the cardinality of the complement of the 
set of comics that I read", then sure...

-- 
http://blog.orphi.me.uk/
http://www.zazzle.com/MathematicalOrchid*


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From: Invisible
Subject: Re: The future seems so grim
Date: 18 Jan 2012 08:43:29
Message: <4f16cc81$1@news.povray.org>
On 28/12/2011 11:18 AM, Warp wrote:
>    Why does it feel like the near future is going to suck hard? Let's see:
>
> - The climate is going so bad that in 50 to 100 years we will most probably
> be totally screwed, if not even sooner. And humanity is doing little to help
> this, even though it's a very well known problem.

I'm not so certain about this "doing little to help" part.

You could certainly argue "not doing ENOUGH to help". But I don't think 
it's accurate to say that nobody is doing ANYTHING.

Heck, we banned CFCs, right? And the hole in the ozone layer is actually 
shrinking now as a direct result of this. That's one small victory.

> - There's little question anymore that the global economy is going to crash
> hard in the very near future.

I have no idea what you're talking about.

> - We are going to run out of oil in the near fugure. We know this, and we
> know that when it happens, the economy will collapse even harder. The
> economic crisis of the 1920's will be child's play in comparison. Yet we
> are not doing anything about it.

Again, "not doing anything about it" is perhaps not an accurate summary.

Plenty of people seem to be looking into alternatives. It's just that 
oil is cheap, and anything new will be expensive.

It's difficult to believe that oil companies don't know that the oil is 
running out. It seems likely that when the oil becomes too expensive, a 
"format war" between different alternatives will likely result, and if 
so, it is incontrovertible that whoever ends up backing the right 
"format" will end up making a crapload of money. And every big oil 
company is going to want that to be them, not their competitors. So I'm 
sure they're all doing some serious homework right now. (Probably in 
secret, for the most part. Don't want to give the game away, right?)

> - One of the most influential countries in the world (a country that
> heavily influences the economy and politics of the rest of the world),
> namely the United States, seems to be going down hard in politics,
> science and education.

Yeah, I'm with you on that one. Perhaps it's only a vocal minority who 
are morons. I don't know, I'm not there.

That said, there was a time when England ruled [most of] the world. We 
had some of the greatest scientists and engineers the world has ever 
seen, we practically /invented/ industry, we had political control of 
vast amounts of land, and so forth.

Today, England is nobody. Great Britain is no longer great. We're just 
another unimportant European country that most people won't even notice. 
We no longer manufacture anything. We no longer design anything. We're 
just a nation of useless "service companies". (Douglas Adams' "useless 
third" of the population.)

There was a time when the USA ruled the world. Maybe that time is 
passing now also? Or maybe this whole thing is a minor hiccup. Who can 
say? (And who will be the next superpower? China? India? Korea?)

> - European countries have also been steadily going downwards in terms of
> freedom, democracy and the wellbeing of its citizens, also mostly for
> religious reasons. However, in this case the religion is not Christianity
> but naive multiculturalism. A revolution (to either direction of the
> political spectrum) is inevitable in the near future.

I do not share your pessimism.

Note that these words come to you from a pessimist of legendary 
magnitude. ;-)

> - Large companies, especially those ones having intellectual properties,
> and especially the American ones, are slowly trying to take over the world.

Yeah, it is slightly ridiculous how content producers seem to think that 
the way to stop illegal copying is to demand ever more power to control 
people's lives. Rather than, you know, make it easier to LEGALLY obtain 
said content.

Or, depending on how cynical: It's slightly ridiculous how content 
producers think that they can trick people into giving them awesome 
powers by pretending that such a thing is "necessary" in order to 
"combat piracy".

>    Sometimes I'm glad I don't have children. I don't have to worry about
> them growing in a world that is plummeting fast into total chaos.

I'm glad I don't have children, for a somewhat different reason... Every 
time I go to the shops and some little kid is standing there screaming 
"mommy, I want! I want! I want!", I feel a deep-seated urge to grab the 
kid and violently beat him repeatedly until only shattered bones and 
torn flesh remains. I gather legal authorities don't take kindly to this 
kind of behaviour. o_O

At any rate, dire predictions of doom used to worry me. After decades of 
hearing them, they now worry me somewhat less. ;-)


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