POV-Ray : Newsgroups : povray.off-topic : Probability question : Re: Probability question Server Time
4 Sep 2024 17:19:05 EDT (-0400)
  Re: Probability question  
From: Invisible
Date: 8 Feb 2010 08:42:55
Message: <4b7014df$1@news.povray.org>
scott wrote:
>> So are you *really* trying to estimate coin flips? Or is there some 
>> more complex problem you're trying to solve here?
> 
> Not really more complex, just a game that is played repeatedly and you 
> have a certain % chance of winning (say 57%).  I just want to know if 
> you play 10,100, 1000 times what is the *likely* number of wins in some 
> kind of worst case and best case scenario.  ie it's obviously possible 
> to win every single game, but that is *really* unlikely, I want to know 
> how many you'd win with 90% or 99% confidence.

Right. So it's ye olde "2SD = 95% confidence" rule then.


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