POV-Ray : Newsgroups : povray.general : hypothetical question... : Re: hypothetical question... Server Time
12 Aug 2024 21:24:44 EDT (-0400)
  Re: hypothetical question...  
From: Markus Becker
Date: 4 Feb 1999 05:59:21
Message: <36B97DCF.230B320B@zess.uni-siegen.de>
Margus Ramst wrote:
> 
> Well, do a simple test. Render a scene with all the effects you want,
> representing a typical frame of the game you have in mind.
> Now do some math to figure out, how many times faster your system would have
> to be to render it, say, 30fps.
> Believe me, the multiplier will be quite staggering.
> I figure a relatively simple scene with 640x480 AA, radiosity, atmosphere,
> reflections etc. would take _at least_ 10 minutes, that's 600 seconds. To
> render it 30 fps, your system would need to be... computing... 18,000 times
> faster. That's a LOT.

Considering Moores law
(computing power doubles every 18 months), then a simple
calculation tells us that computers will be that fast in
14.15 Moore-periods (log2(18000)), that being 254.5 months,
which are only 21 years.

Hold your breath.... ;-)

Of course this only applies if Moores law will last that long.
It is considered as coming to an end around 2015.....

Markus
-- 

 Ich nicht eine Sekunde!!!" H. Heinol in Val Thorens


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