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Kyle <hob### [at] gate net> wrote:
> I recall that there was an accident here in town several years ago that was also a
wrong-place-wrong-time type also.
A lady jogger was killed when a large branch from an old tree fell and crushed
> her. She was found when a crew came to cut the branch up to haul it away. I always
wondered if she had been discove
red earlier if she would have lived...
how has this off-topic thread come to be so offtopic? :P
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nemesis wrote:
> how has this off-topic thread come to be so offtopic? :P
Oh please! No more metathreads!!
--
http://blog.orphi.me.uk/
http://www.zazzle.com/MathematicalOrchid*
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On Wed, 09 Jan 2008 15:15:48 +0000, Invisible wrote:
> scott wrote:
>>> Yah. 20 seconds early or late and she'd still be alive and unharmed.
>>
>> But for every person that gets something like this, there are thousands
>> who escaped by 5, 10, 20 seconds from death. Just due to the huge
>> numbers of people on this planet, there will always be stories like
>> this, people who were just in the wrong place at the wrong time.
>
> True...
>
>> Don't forget, there's (roughly) a 1 in 14 million chance of winning a
>> lottery, yet still hundreds of people worldwide have this happen to
>> them every week...
>
> Really? I thought it was actually quite unusual for anybody to win?
> (This is why they have so many rollover weeks.)
>
> [As an aside, I always thought a rollover week was a particularly *bad*
> way to try to sell tickets. "Hey, everybody! Last week several million
> people bought a ticket and NOBODY WON! You should hand over all your
> money right away for your chance to not win this week's draw!"]
Depends on how you define a "win". I used to play the Minnesota State
Lottery years and years ago, and we "won" once (a group of us would go in
together on a batch of tickets) - $10, only cost us $20 in tickets.
Jim
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Invisible wrote:
> [As an aside, I always thought a rollover week was a particularly *bad*
> way to try to sell tickets. "Hey, everybody! Last week several million
> people bought a ticket and NOBODY WON! You should hand over all your
> money right away for your chance to not win this week's draw!"]
Consider that the lotto is a tax on people who are bad at math, and you
understand how easy it is to sell.
--
...Ben Chambers
www.pacificwebguy.com
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Chambers wrote:
> Consider that the lotto is a tax on people who are bad at math, and you
> understand how easy it is to sell.
Except it really isn't. It's only a tax on people who are bad at math
*and* who don't understand that risking a small amount isn't the same as
risking a large amount.
--
Darren New / San Diego, CA, USA (PST)
It's not feature creep if you put it
at the end and adjust the release date.
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Darren New wrote:
> Chambers wrote:
>> Consider that the lotto is a tax on people who are bad at math, and
>> you understand how easy it is to sell.
>
> Except it really isn't. It's only a tax on people who are bad at math
> *and* who don't understand that risking a small amount isn't the same as
> risking a large amount.
>
Either way, once you get past the "hand me a one dollar bill 100 times,
and I'll hand you a 10 dollar bill once!", selling anything else on top
of that is relatively easy.
--
...Ben Chambers
www.pacificwebguy.com
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Chambers wrote:
> Either way, once you get past the "hand me a one dollar bill 100 times,
> and I'll hand you a 10 dollar bill once!", selling anything else on top
> of that is relatively easy.
I don't think anyone would play if $10 was the top payout.
--
Darren New / San Diego, CA, USA (PST)
It's not feature creep if you put it
at the end and adjust the release date.
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Darren New wrote:
> Chambers wrote:
>> Either way, once you get past the "hand me a one dollar bill 100
>> times, and I'll hand you a 10 dollar bill once!", selling anything
>> else on top of that is relatively easy.
>
> I don't think anyone would play if $10 was the top payout.
>
OK then, "Hand me a $1 bill 100,000,000,000 times, and I'll hand you a
check for $10,000,000!"
Same thing, different numbers.
--
...Ben Chambers
www.pacificwebguy.com
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Chambers wrote:
> Darren New wrote:
>> Chambers wrote:
>>> Either way, once you get past the "hand me a one dollar bill 100
>>> times, and I'll hand you a 10 dollar bill once!", selling anything
>>> else on top of that is relatively easy.
>>
>> I don't think anyone would play if $10 was the top payout.
>>
>
> OK then, "Hand me a $1 bill 100,000,000,000 times, and I'll hand you a
> check for $10,000,000!"
>
> Same thing, different numbers.
Yes, but the "different numbers" are important.
Give me $1 for a 1/100 chance to win $10,000. Would you do it?
Give me a million dollars for a 1/100 chance to win $10,000,000,000.
Would you do it?
The "different numbers" matter.
--
Darren New / San Diego, CA, USA (PST)
It's not feature creep if you put it
at the end and adjust the release date.
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Darren New wrote:
> Chambers wrote:
>> Darren New wrote:
>>> Chambers wrote:
>>>> Either way, once you get past the "hand me a one dollar bill 100
>>>> times, and I'll hand you a 10 dollar bill once!", selling anything
>>>> else on top of that is relatively easy.
>>>
>>> I don't think anyone would play if $10 was the top payout.
>>>
>>
>> OK then, "Hand me a $1 bill 100,000,000,000 times, and I'll hand you a
>> check for $10,000,000!"
>>
>> Same thing, different numbers.
>
> Yes, but the "different numbers" are important.
>
> Give me $1 for a 1/100 chance to win $10,000. Would you do it?
>
> Give me a million dollars for a 1/100 chance to win $10,000,000,000.
> Would you do it?
>
> The "different numbers" matter.
>
Yes they matter, but in both my examples the odds were extremely against
you coming out ahead.
Actually, I take that back. Those are extremely favorable odds. Now to
prove it, let's you and I play a few times. I'll be the house...
:)
--
...Ben Chambers
www.pacificwebguy.com
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